Real Madrid v Liverpool odds and best bets: Props and predictions for March 15

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March 14, 2023
March 14, 2023

The Narrative

After one of their worst defeats in Champions League history, will Liverpool look all the better for having ZERO to lose against Real Madrid on Wednesday?

Initial thoughts

There are some crazy numbers in Liverpool’s recent fixture list. 

Never before have the Reds been 2-0 up at home in the UCL only to go on and lose by a three goal margin. But in the wake of that stunning 5-2 capitulation to Real Madrid last month, Klopp’s side bounced back to beat Manchester United 7-0 in one of the most one-sided North West Derbies in living memory.

Liverpool were massive favorites to beat Bournemouth in their next league game, having destroyed the Cherries 9-0 on their last visit to the South Coast. But the Reds somehow crashed back down to earth in a truly shocking 1-0 loss, with Mo Salah missing a penalty late in the second half.

Nuts & bolts

Last season Klopp’s men won the FA and Carabao Cups, reached the final of the Champions League, and missed out on the Premier League by a single point on the very last day of the season.

But fast forward a little over 8 months and the Red’s current season is almost done already. Liverpool need to beat Real Madrid at the Bernabeu to keep their slim hopes of silverware alive - and they need to do it by a three goal margin.

There are two problems here though: 1) Real haven’t lost a home game in either the UCL or La Liga this season and 2) no one has beaten them by three goals this campaign.

All that makes Carlo Ancelotti’s side favorites to go through to the next round - but could the Reds still win on the night?

Klopp’s side came into that Man United game without a hope in hell, and the total absence of expectation helped them produce one of their best performances of the season. 

So against a Real Madrid side that already believes they’re in the quarter-finals, the stage is set for Liverpool to show their class in the Spanish capital.

Homestand Picks

All odds courtesy of NorthStar Bets 

Liverpool or tie (-148)

With no one expecting a Liverpool comeback, Klopp’s side will play without pressure or fear at the Bernabeu. 

Liverpool Over 13.5 Total Shots (-112)

The Reds have managed 15 shots or more in each of their last three outings, so take the over tomorrow night.

Vinícius Júnior to give an assist (+300)

Vinícius Júnior has either scored or assisted in 6 of his 7 UCL games this season. The Brazilian did both in the first leg and he’s great value to create another goal tomorrow. 

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