Can you put a price on Shohei Ohtani?

July 17, 2023
July 17, 2023


In recent discussions surrounding the Baltimore Orioles, there has been speculation about a potential trade involving their talented prospects, Jackson Holliday and Grayson Rodriguez, in exchange for Shohei Ohtani. While this proposition may seem enticing to some, it is essential to carefully analyze the situation with a neutral perspective and consider the possible outcomes.

Firstly, the suggestion is made that the Orioles should immediately contact the Los Angeles Angels and propose a trade for Ohtani, offering Holliday and Rodriguez as part of the deal. The argument is that this trade should be enough to secure Ohtani's services. However, it is important to note that this proposal hinges on the assumption that no other team can provide a more enticing offer.

Certainly, the inclusion of Holliday and Rodriguez, both highly regarded prospects, adds significant value to the trade offer. They are considered among the top pitching prospects in baseball, showcasing their potential for greatness. Nonetheless, the Orioles are aware that Ohtani's future lies elsewhere as he is unlikely to remain in Baltimore. Thus, any trade involving him would essentially be a rental agreement.

Considering the Orioles' situation, it becomes apparent that they must carefully weigh their options. While the proposed deal may appear favourable, it is crucial to recognize that other teams will also be vying for Ohtani's services. Consequently, there will likely be numerous enticing trade packages from various teams across Major League Baseball. Therefore, the Orioles cannot rely solely on their offer to secure Ohtani's services.

Another point of contention raised in the discussion is the possibility of Ohtani walking away as a free agent. It is argued that teams interested in acquiring him would prefer to avoid granting him the power to choose his destination in free agency. Instead, they would prefer to take advantage of the opportunity to construct a package that outshines competing offers while the team still possesses control over Ohtani's landing spot. Thus, a sign-and-trade scenario is proposed as a potential solution.

However, there are doubts about the feasibility of such a trade. It is unlikely that teams would be willing to relinquish their two best prospects to acquire Ohtani. This raises an interesting dilemma, as there appears to be a discrepancy between the package required for an Ohtani rental versus the package needed to secure him for the long term.

Ultimately, the central argument here is whether there is a trade package compelling enough to convince the Orioles to allow Ohtani to be a rental player. While Ohtani undeniably possesses the ability to elevate a team to new heights, it seems unlikely that the Orioles would sacrifice their prized prospects for a temporary solution.

The debate surrounding a potential trade for Shohei Ohtani continues to captivate fans and analysts alike. However, when examining the matter neutrally, it becomes clear that there may not be a trade package capable of satisfying all parties involved. The Orioles would undoubtedly need to consider their long-term goals and the value of their prospects before committing to such a significant trade. As the discussions progress, it will be interesting to see whether a suitable agreement can be reached to secure Ohtani's services, either as a rental or with a long-term commitment.

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